What are the chances of seeing an Orange-Marked Cranefly in Paris?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orange-Marked Cranefly sighting in Paris on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 686th most-seen of the 916 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Orange-Marked Cranefly in Paris?
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orange-Marked Cranefly in Paris on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
Is Paris the best place to see an Orange-Marked Cranefly?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Orange-Marked Cranefly sightings, Paris ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Orange-Marked Cranefly live in Paris?
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Orange-Marked Cranefly that you can see in Paris (order Diptera, Flies) are Marmalade Hover Fly (about 30%), Yellow-Haired Sun Fly (about 20%) and Hornet Mimic Hover Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Orange-Marked Cranefly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orange-Marked Cranefly is recorded against all the insects logged in Paris (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.