What are the chances of seeing an Early Fan-Foot in Philadelphia?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Early Fan-Foot sighting in Philadelphia on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 471st most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Early Fan-Foot in Philadelphia?
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Early Fan-Foot in Philadelphia on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months.
Is Philadelphia the best place to see an Early Fan-Foot?
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Early Fan-Foot sightings, Philadelphia ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Baltimore (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Early Fan-Foot live in Philadelphia?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Early Fan-Foot that you can see in Philadelphia (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Giant Leopard Moth (about 10%), Isabella Tiger Moth (about 10%) and Green Cloverworm Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Early Fan-Foot sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Early Fan-Foot is recorded against all the insects logged in Philadelphia (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.