Manduca incisa
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Manduca incisa is a moth of the family Sphingidae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto Alegre | 🇧🇷 Brazil |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Manduca incisa sighting in Porto Alegre on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 196th most-seen of the 226 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Manduca incisa in Porto Alegre on a given day, against under 5% in November to August, the lowest months.
Only Porto Alegre, in our data
Porto Alegre is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Manduca incisa sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Manduca incisa is recorded against all the insects logged in Porto Alegre (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
