Parrhasius orgia
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Parrhasius orgia, the variable hairstreak, is a butterfly in the family Lycaenidae. It is found from Mexico to Venezuela, the Amazon, French Guiana, Colombia and Bolivia. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto Alegre | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 2 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Hairstreak sighting in Porto Alegre on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 176th most-seen of the 226 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and November–February
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Hairstreak in Porto Alegre on a given day, against under 5% in March and May–October, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Variable Hairstreak sightings, Porto Alegre has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come São Paulo (Brazil, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Hairstreak is recorded against all the insects logged in Porto Alegre (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
