Leucania loreyi
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Leucania loreyi, the cosmopolitan, false army worm or nightfeeding rice armyworm, is a species of moth in the family Noctuidae. It is found in most of African countries, the Indo-Australian subtropics and tropics of India, Sri Lanka, Myanmar, the eastern Palearctic realm, and the Near East and Middle East. The species was first described by Philogène Auguste Joseph Duponchel in 1827.
Its wingspan is about 34–44 mm. Forewing greyish ochreous; the veins pale lined with brown, the intervals with brown lines; a short black streak from base below cell; median nervure thickly outlined with fuscous to beyond cell; reniform stigma indicated by a white dot at lower angle of cell; outer line by a row of black dots on veins; a triangular brown subapical patch edged above by an oblique pale streak from apex; hindwing white, the veins towards termen fuscous; abdominal tufts beneath formed of coarse scalelike brown black hairs.
The larva is reddish grey, and yellowish between the segments and the dorsal line is fine, grey, and double. The subdorsal lines are divided, interrupted, and all clearer towards the anal segments. spiracles black-ringed. Adults are on wing... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a The Cosmopolitan sighting in Porto on a given day, based on 94 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 97th most-seen of the 498 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October and November
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a The Cosmopolitan in Porto on a given day, against under 5% in December to April, the lowest months. Those are among Porto's wettest months, with about 140 mm of rain a month against 15 mm in July.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate The Cosmopolitan sightings, Porto has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Madrid (Spain, about 10%) and Barcelona (Spain, under 5%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the The Cosmopolitan that you can see in Porto (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Variegated Cutworm Moth (about 20%), Armyworm Moth (about 20%) and Scarce Merveille Du Jour (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the The Cosmopolitan is recorded against all the insects logged in Porto (94 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
