Antigastra morysalis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Antigastra morysalis is a moth in the family Crambidae. It was described by Francis Walker in 1859. It is found in South Africa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Garden Route National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Antigastra morysalis sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 175th most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January–February, May, September and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Antigastra morysalis in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in March–April, June–August, October and December, the lowest months.
Between 3 and 6 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Antigastra morysalis sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Antigastra morysalis sightings, Pretoria has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Johannesburg (South Africa, under 5%) and Cape Town (South Africa, under 5%).
Same family: Crambidae
The closest relatives of the Antigastra morysalis that you can see in Pretoria (family Crambidae, Crambid Snout Moths) are Black Wedge Pyralis (about 10%), Hawaiian Beet Webworm Moth (about 10%) and Dotted Sable (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Antigastra morysalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
