Yponomeuta fumigata
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Fume Speckled Ermine sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 225th most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and November–February
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Fume Speckled Ermine in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in March and May–October, the lowest months. Those are among Pretoria's wettest months, with about 95 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
Only Pretoria, in our data
Pretoria is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Fume Speckled Ermine sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Fume Speckled Ermine that you can see in Pretoria (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Garden Acraea (about 30%), Leopard Magpie Moth (about 30%) and Junonia archesia (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Fume Speckled Ermine is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
