What are the chances of seeing a Pale Eggarlet in Pretoria?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Eggarlet sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 225th most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Pale Eggarlet in Pretoria?
January–February and May–June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Eggarlet in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in March–April and July–December, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Pale Eggarlet?
Only Pretoria, in our data
Pretoria is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Pale Eggarlet sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Pale Eggarlet sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pale Eggarlet is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.