What are the chances of seeing a Pale Hairtail in Pretoria?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Hairtail sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 135th most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Pale Hairtail in Pretoria?
July and August
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Hairtail in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in June and October–March, the lowest months. Those are among Pretoria's driest months, with about 5 mm of rain a month against 130 mm in December.
Is Pretoria the best place to see a Pale Hairtail?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Pale Hairtail sightings, Pretoria has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Durban (South Africa, about 10%) and Johannesburg (South Africa, about 10%).
Where does the Pale Hairtail sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pale Hairtail is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.