What are the chances of seeing an Ellescus scanicus in Saint Petersburg?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Ellescus scanicus sighting in Saint Petersburg on a given day, based on 34 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 118th most-seen of the 448 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Ellescus scanicus in Saint Petersburg?
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Ellescus scanicus in Saint Petersburg on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
Is Saint Petersburg the best place to see an Ellescus scanicus?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Ellescus scanicus sightings, Saint Petersburg has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Moscow (Russia, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Ellescus scanicus live in Saint Petersburg?
Same family: Curculionidae
The closest relatives of the Ellescus scanicus that you can see in Saint Petersburg (family Curculionidae, True Weevils) are Nettle Weevil (about 10%), Strawberry Root Weevil (about 10%) and Black Vine Weevil (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Ellescus scanicus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ellescus scanicus is recorded against all the insects logged in Saint Petersburg (34 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.