What are the chances of seeing a Caenurgia togataria in San Francisco?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Caenurgia togataria sighting in San Francisco on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 387th most-seen of the 737 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Caenurgia togataria in San Francisco?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Caenurgia togataria in San Francisco on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is San Francisco the best place to see a Caenurgia togataria?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Caenurgia togataria sightings, San Francisco ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in San Diego (United States, under 5%) and Los Angeles (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Caenurgia togataria live in San Francisco?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Caenurgia togataria that you can see in San Francisco (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Spotted Tussock Moth (about 10%) and Western Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Caenurgia togataria sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Caenurgia togataria is recorded against all the insects logged in San Francisco (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.