What are the chances of seeing a Megalopyge basalis in São Paulo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Megalopyge basalis sighting in São Paulo on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 344th most-seen of the 832 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Megalopyge basalis in São Paulo?
January and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Megalopyge basalis in São Paulo on a given day, against under 5% in February–October and December, the lowest months. Those are among São Paulo's wettest months, with about 190 mm of rain a month against 35 mm in August.
Where else can you see a Megalopyge basalis?
Only São Paulo, in our data
São Paulo is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Megalopyge basalis sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Megalopyge basalis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Megalopyge basalis is recorded against all the insects logged in São Paulo (18 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.