Mycalesis francisca
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Mycalesis francisca is an East Palearctic species of satyrine butterfly found in China, Japan, Korea, India (Assam), Burma and Indochina The larva feeds on Imperata cylindrica, Miscanthus sinensis, Setaria palmifolia and Oplismenus undulatifolius Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taroko National Park | 🇹🇼 Taiwan |
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lilacine Bushbrown sighting in Seoul on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 195th most-seen of the 525 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lilacine Bushbrown in Seoul on a given day, against under 5% in August to April, the lowest months. Those are among Seoul's wettest months, with about 190 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in January.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Lilacine Bushbrown sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Lilacine Bushbrown sightings, Seoul ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Nanjing (China, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lilacine Bushbrown is recorded against all the insects logged in Seoul (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
