What are the chances of seeing a Polistes shirakii in Taichung?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Polistes shirakii sighting in Taichung on a given day, based on 20 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 59th most-seen of the 197 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Polistes shirakii in Taichung?
June and August–October
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Polistes shirakii in Taichung on a given day, against under 5% in December to March, the lowest months. Those are among Taichung's wettest months, with about 220 mm of rain a month against 40 mm in December.
Is Taichung the best place to see a Polistes shirakii?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Polistes shirakii sightings, Taichung has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Taipei (Taiwan, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Polistes shirakii live in Taichung?
Same genus: Polistes
The closest relatives of the Polistes shirakii that you can see in Taichung (genus Polistes, Umbrella Paper Wasps) are Rothney's Paper Wasp (about 20%) and Giant Brown Paper Wasp (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Polistes shirakii sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Polistes shirakii is recorded against all the insects logged in Taichung (20 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.