Allantus luctifer
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Allantus luctifer sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 43 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 284th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Allantus luctifer in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in June–September and November–April, the lowest months.
2nd of 2
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Allantus luctifer sightings, Tokyo ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Nagoya (Japan, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Allantus luctifer is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (43 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
