Conistra ardescens
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tokyo | 🇯🇵 Japan |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Conistra ardescens sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 14 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 644th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Conistra ardescens in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in March to January, the lowest months. That is one of Tokyo's driest months, with about 75 mm of rain against 250 mm in October.
Only Tokyo, in our data
Tokyo is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Conistra ardescens sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Conistra ardescens is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (14 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
