What are the chances of seeing a Conocephalus japonicus in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Conocephalus japonicus sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 612th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Conocephalus japonicus in Tokyo?
October
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Conocephalus japonicus in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in November to September, the lowest months. That is one of Tokyo's wettest months, with about 250 mm of rain against 75 mm in February.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Conocephalus japonicus?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Conocephalus japonicus sightings, Tokyo ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Seoul (South Korea, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Conocephalus japonicus live in Tokyo?
Same genus: Conocephalus
The closest relatives of the Conocephalus japonicus that you can see in Tokyo (genus Conocephalus, Lesser Meadow Katydids) are Spotted Meadow Katydid (about 10%) and Black-Kneed Meadow Katydid (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Conocephalus japonicus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Conocephalus japonicus is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.