What are the chances of seeing a Dybowski's Hornet in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dybowski's Hornet sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 45 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 263rd most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Dybowski's Hornet in Tokyo?
July to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dybowski's Hornet in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in October to June, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Dybowski's Hornet?
Only Tokyo, in our data
Tokyo is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Dybowski's Hornet sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Dybowski's Hornet live in Tokyo?
Same genus: Vespa
The closest relatives of the Dybowski's Hornet that you can see in Tokyo (genus Vespa, Hornets) are Yellow-Vented Hornet (about 10%), Asian Giant Hornet (about 10%) and Yellow Hornet (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Dybowski's Hornet sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dybowski's Hornet is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (45 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.