What are the chances of seeing a Fire-Tailed Bumble Bee in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Fire-Tailed Bumble Bee sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 42 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 302nd most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Fire-Tailed Bumble Bee in Tokyo?
May and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Fire-Tailed Bumble Bee in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Fire-Tailed Bumble Bee?
5th of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Fire-Tailed Bumble Bee sightings, Tokyo ranks 5th at under 5%. The best odds are in Busan (South Korea, about 20%), Sendai (Japan, about 10%) and Seoul (South Korea, about 10%).
Where does the Fire-Tailed Bumble Bee sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Fire-Tailed Bumble Bee is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (42 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.