What are the chances of seeing a Menida musiva in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Menida musiva sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 33 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 342nd most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Menida musiva in Tokyo?
April to June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Menida musiva in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in July to March, the lowest months.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Menida musiva?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Menida musiva sightings, Tokyo ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Seoul (South Korea, under 5%).
Where does the Menida musiva sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Menida musiva is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (33 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.