What are the chances of seeing a Nemophora aurifera in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Nemophora aurifera sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 395th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Nemophora aurifera in Tokyo?
April and May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nemophora aurifera in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in June to March, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Nemophora aurifera?
Only Tokyo, in our data
Tokyo is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Nemophora aurifera sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Nemophora aurifera sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nemophora aurifera is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.