Orthopagus lunulifer
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orthopagus lunulifer sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 431st most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orthopagus lunulifer in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in October to July, the lowest months.
4th of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Orthopagus lunulifer sightings, Tokyo ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Beijing (China, about 10%), Taipei (Taiwan, under 5%) and Seoul (South Korea, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orthopagus lunulifer is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (22 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
