What are the chances of seeing a Sugitania lepida in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Sugitania lepida sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 726th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Sugitania lepida in Tokyo?
November and December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Sugitania lepida in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in January to October, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Sugitania lepida?
Only Tokyo, in our data
Tokyo is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Sugitania lepida sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Sugitania lepida sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Sugitania lepida is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.