What are the chances of seeing a Sympetrum speciosum in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Sympetrum speciosum sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 443rd most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Sympetrum speciosum in Tokyo?
September
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Sympetrum speciosum in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in October to August, the lowest months. That is one of Tokyo's wettest months, with about 210 mm of rain against 75 mm in February.
Where else can you see a Sympetrum speciosum?
Only Tokyo, in our data
Tokyo is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Sympetrum speciosum sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Sympetrum speciosum live in Tokyo?
Same genus: Sympetrum
The closest relatives of the Sympetrum speciosum that you can see in Tokyo (genus Sympetrum, Meadowhawks) are Autumn Darter (about 10%), Four-Tipped Darter (about 10%) and Banded Darter (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Sympetrum speciosum sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Sympetrum speciosum is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (22 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.