Leucania loreyi
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Leucania loreyi, the cosmopolitan, false army worm or nightfeeding rice armyworm, is a species of moth in the family Noctuidae. It is found in most of African countries, the Indo-Australian subtropics and tropics of India, Sri Lanka, Myanmar, the eastern Palearctic realm, and the Near East and Middle East. The species was first described by Philogène Auguste Joseph Duponchel in 1827.
Its wingspan is about 34–44 mm. Forewing greyish ochreous; the veins pale lined with brown, the intervals with brown lines; a short black streak from base below cell; median nervure thickly outlined with fuscous to beyond cell; reniform stigma indicated by a white dot at lower angle of cell; outer line by a row of black dots on veins; a triangular brown subapical patch edged above by an oblique pale streak from apex; hindwing white, the veins towards termen fuscous; abdominal tufts beneath formed of coarse scalelike brown black hairs.
The larva is reddish grey, and yellowish between the segments and the dorsal line is fine, grey, and double. The subdorsal lines are divided, interrupted, and all clearer towards the anal segments. spiracles black-ringed. Adults are on wing... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a The Cosmopolitan sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 726th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a The Cosmopolitan in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in December to October, the lowest months.
4th of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate The Cosmopolitan sightings, Tokyo ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Porto (Portugal, about 10%), Madrid (Spain, about 10%) and Barcelona (Spain, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the The Cosmopolitan is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
