Microchrysa polita
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Microchrysa polita, the black-horned gem, is a species of soldier fly found in Europe, Asia, and North America. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Horned Gem Fly sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 828th most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Horned Gem Fly in Toronto on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
15th of 17
Of the 17 cities where we can rate Black-Horned Gem Fly sightings, Toronto ranks 15th at under 5%. The best odds are in Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%), Brussels (Belgium, about 10%) and Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Horned Gem Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
