What are the chances of seeing a Phyllonorycter populifoliella in Yekaterinburg?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Phyllonorycter populifoliella sighting in Yekaterinburg on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 74th most-seen of the 155 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Phyllonorycter populifoliella in Yekaterinburg?
August to October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Phyllonorycter populifoliella in Yekaterinburg on a given day, against under 5% in November to July, the lowest months.
Is Yekaterinburg the best place to see a Phyllonorycter populifoliella?
2nd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Phyllonorycter populifoliella sightings, Yekaterinburg ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Minsk (Belarus, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Phyllonorycter populifoliella live in Yekaterinburg?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Phyllonorycter populifoliella that you can see in Yekaterinburg (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are European Peacock Butterfly (about 20%), Green-Veined White (about 10%) and Mourning Cloak (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Phyllonorycter populifoliella sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Phyllonorycter populifoliella is recorded against all the insects logged in Yekaterinburg (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.