Nepheronia buquetii
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
Nepheronia buquetii, the plain vagrant, Buquet's vagrant, or green-eyed monster, is a butterfly of the family Pieridae. It is found throughout Africa. The wingspan is 45–50 mm for males and 48–56 mm for females. Adults are on the wing year-round, more commonly in winter months.
The larvae feed on Azima tetracantha and Salvadora persica. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uMkhuze Game Reserve | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Namib-Naukluft National Park | 🇳🇦 Namibia | |
| 4 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 5 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Plain Vagrant sighting in iSimangaliso Wetland Park on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 116th most-seen of the 316 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Plain Vagrant in iSimangaliso Wetland Park on a given day, against under 5% in May, August and December, the lowest months. That is one of iSimangaliso Wetland Park's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain against 130 mm in February.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Plain Vagrant sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
4th of 5
Of the 5 parks where we can rate Plain Vagrant sightings, iSimangaliso Wetland Park ranks 4th at about 10%. The best odds are in uMkhuze Game Reserve (South Africa, about 30%), Addo Elephant National Park (South Africa, about 10%) and Namib-Naukluft National Park (Namibia, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Plain Vagrant is recorded against all the insects logged in iSimangaliso Wetland Park (16 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
