Eronia leda
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Afrodryas leda, the autumn leaf vagrant or orange-and-lemon, is a butterfly of the family Pieridae. It is found throughout Africa. The wingspan is 50–55 mm for males and 48–56 mm for females. Adults are on wing year-round in warmer areas with peaks in late summer and autumn.
The larvae feed on Capparis tomentosa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonarezhou National Park | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 2 | Hluhluwe-Imfolozi Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Autumnleaf Vagrant sighting in Kruger National Park on a given day, based on 36 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 103rd most-seen of the 748 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Autumnleaf Vagrant in Kruger National Park on a given day, against under 5% in September to December, the lowest months. That is one of Kruger National Park's driest months, with about 5 mm of rain against 110 mm in February.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Autumnleaf Vagrant sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 3
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Autumnleaf Vagrant sightings, Kruger National Park ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Gonarezhou National Park (Zimbabwe, about 30%) and Hluhluwe-Imfolozi Park (South Africa, about 10%).
Same family: Pieridae
The closest relatives of the Autumnleaf Vagrant that you can see in Kruger National Park (family Pieridae, Whites, Yellows, and Sulphurs) are African Caper (about 20%), Desert Orange Tip (about 20%) and African Migrant (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Autumnleaf Vagrant is recorded against all the insects logged in Kruger National Park (36 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
