Leucinodes vagans
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Syllepte vagans, the leaden pearl, is a moth in the family Crambidae. It was described by Tutt in 1890. It is found in South Africa, Botswana, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Mozambique, Namibia, Nigeria, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe. It is recorded infrequently in the Great Britain through accidental import.
The wingspan is 23–26 millimetres (0.91–1.02 in). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lead Pearl sighting in Kruger National Park on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 519th most-seen of the 748 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November and December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lead Pearl in Kruger National Park on a given day, against under 5% in January to October, the lowest months. Those are among Kruger National Park's wettest months, with about 75 mm of rain a month against almost none in August.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Lead Pearl sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Only Kruger National Park, in our data
Kruger National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Lead Pearl sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lead Pearl is recorded against all the insects logged in Kruger National Park (8 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
