Scopula umbilicata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Scopula umbilicata, the swag-lined wave moth, is a species of moth in the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Johan Christian Fabricius in 1794. It is found from the southern part of the United States (including Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Oklahoma and Texas) to South America and the West Indies (including Puerto Rico).
The wingspan is about 18 mm. The wings are white with sparse speckling. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Cypress National Preserve | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Everglades National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | San Antonio | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Swag-Lined Wave sighting in Big Cypress National Preserve on a given day, based on 14 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 116th most-seen of the 262 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Swag-Lined Wave in Big Cypress National Preserve on a given day, against under 5% in August to January, the lowest months. Those are among Big Cypress National Preserve's wettest months, with about 200 mm of rain a month against 40 mm in March.
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Swag-Lined Wave sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Yes
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Swag-Lined Wave sightings, Big Cypress National Preserve has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Everglades National Park (United States, about 10%) and Cumbres de Monterrey National Park (Mexico, under 5%).
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Swag-Lined Wave that you can see in Big Cypress National Preserve (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are Cypress Emerald (about 10%), Raspberry Wave (about 10%) and Hollow-Spotted Angle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Swag-Lined Wave is recorded against all the insects logged in Big Cypress National Preserve (14 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
