What are the chances of seeing a Madagascar Black-Eye in Antananarivo?
Likely
About 40% of wildlife watchers report a Madagascar Black-Eye sighting in Antananarivo on a given day, based on 41 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 7th most-seen of the 59 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 80%, and over a week to over 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Madagascar Black-Eye in Antananarivo?
February
In that month about 60% of wildlife watchers report a Madagascar Black-Eye in Antananarivo on a given day, against under 5% in April, the lowest month. That is one of Antananarivo's wettest months, with about 380 mm of rain against 45 mm in September.
Where else can you see a Madagascar Black-Eye?
Only Antananarivo, in our data
Antananarivo is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Madagascar Black-Eye sightings: about 40% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Madagascar Black-Eye live in Antananarivo?
Same family: Lycaenidae
The closest relatives of the Madagascar Black-Eye that you can see in Antananarivo (family Lycaenidae, Gossamer-winged Butterflies) are African Grass Blue (about 40%), Tiny Grass Blue (about 30%) and Grey Smoky Blue (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Madagascar Black-Eye sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Madagascar Black-Eye is recorded against all the insects logged in Antananarivo (41 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.