Parapoynx fluctuosalis
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
Parapoynx fluctuosalis or Fluctuating China-mark or Waved China-mark, is a moth of the family Crambidae. It is a widespread species, known from Africa, India, Sri Lanka, China, Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan, Guam, Hawaii, Fiji, Australia and the Galápagos Islands. It is also an introduced species in Europe, where it has been recorded from Great Britain, the Iberian Peninsula and Sardinia.
Adults are sexually dimorphic, with a variable colouration of the wings. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antananarivo | 🇲🇬 Madagascar |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Waved China-Mark sighting in Antananarivo on a given day, based on 13 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 24th most-seen of the 59 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 50% of wildlife watchers report a Waved China-Mark in Antananarivo on a given day, against under 5% in July–August and October–February, the lowest months. That is one of Antananarivo's driest months, with about 45 mm of rain against 480 mm in January.
Between 8 and 11 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Waved China-Mark sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Only Antananarivo, in our data
Antananarivo is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Waved China-Mark sightings: about 20% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Crambidae
The closest relatives of the Waved China-Mark that you can see in Antananarivo (family Crambidae, Crambid Snout Moths) are Rusty Dot Pearl (about 20%), Hawaiian Beet Webworm Moth (about 20%) and Mung Bean Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Waved China-Mark is recorded against all the insects logged in Antananarivo (13 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
