What are the chances of seeing a Blackjack Fly in Auckland?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Blackjack Fly sighting in Auckland on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 527th most-seen of the 689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Blackjack Fly in Auckland?
March and May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blackjack Fly in Auckland on a given day, against under 5% in April and June–February, the lowest months.
Is Auckland the best place to see a Blackjack Fly?
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Blackjack Fly sightings, Auckland has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Hong Kong (China, under 5%) and Lisbon (Portugal, under 5%).
Where does the Blackjack Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blackjack Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Auckland (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.