Cryptotympana atrata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Eastern Horse Cicada sighting in Beijing on a given day, based on 65 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 42nd most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report an Eastern Horse Cicada in Beijing on a given day, against under 5% in March–May and September–January, the lowest months. That is one of Beijing's wettest months, with about 150 mm of rain against almost none in January.
22nd of 25
Of the 25 cities where we can rate Eastern Horse Cicada sightings, Beijing ranks 22nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Nanchang (China, about 50%), Tianjin (China, about 40%) and Shantou (China, about 30%).
Same family: Cicadidae
The closest relatives of the Eastern Horse Cicada that you can see in Beijing (family Cicadidae, Typical Cicadas) are Robust Cicada (about 10%) and Kaempfer Cicada (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Eastern Horse Cicada is recorded against all the insects logged in Beijing (65 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
