Elaphria venustula
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Elaphria venustula (rosy marbled) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in most of Europe, except the north. In the east, the range extends through the Palearctic to the Pacific Ocean. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Rosy Marbled sighting in Beijing on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 288th most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rosy Marbled in Beijing on a given day, against under 5% in September to May, the lowest months. Those are among Beijing's wettest months, with about 110 mm of rain a month against almost none in January.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Rosy Marbled sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
3rd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Rosy Marbled sightings, Beijing ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Turin (Italy, about 10%) and Porto (Portugal, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Rosy Marbled is recorded against all the insects logged in Beijing (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
