What are the chances of seeing a Scythris sinensis in Beijing?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Scythris sinensis sighting in Beijing on a given day, based on 26 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 111th most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Scythris sinensis in Beijing?
February and June–September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Scythris sinensis in Beijing on a given day, against under 5% in March–May and October–January, the lowest months. Those are among Beijing's wettest months, with about 85 mm of rain a month against almost none in January.
Is Beijing the best place to see a Scythris sinensis?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Scythris sinensis sightings, Beijing has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Seoul (South Korea, about 10%) and Bucharest (Romania, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Scythris sinensis live in Beijing?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Scythris sinensis that you can see in Beijing (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Small White (about 20%), Asian Comma (about 20%) and Fall Webworm Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Scythris sinensis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Scythris sinensis is recorded against all the insects logged in Beijing (26 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.