Conistra rubiginosa
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Conistra rubiginosa, the Black-spotted chestnut, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Giovanni Antonio Scopoli in his 1763 Entomologia Carniolica. It is found in Europe. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Spot Chestnut sighting in Berlin on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 593rd most-seen of the 1065 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March–April and November–December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Spot Chestnut in Berlin on a given day, against under 5% in January–February and May–October, the lowest months.
Between 2 and 5 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Black-Spot Chestnut sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Black-Spot Chestnut sightings, Berlin ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Prague (Czechia, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Spot Chestnut is recorded against all the insects logged in Berlin (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
