What are the chances of seeing a Scarce Oak Knot-Horn in Berlin?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Scarce Oak Knot-Horn sighting in Berlin on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 801st most-seen of the 1065 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Scarce Oak Knot-Horn in Berlin?
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Scarce Oak Knot-Horn in Berlin on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months.
Is Berlin the best place to see a Scarce Oak Knot-Horn?
3rd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Scarce Oak Knot-Horn sightings, Berlin ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Sofia (Bulgaria, about 10%) and Essen (Germany, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Scarce Oak Knot-Horn live in Berlin?
Same family: Pyralidae
The closest relatives of the Scarce Oak Knot-Horn that you can see in Berlin (family Pyralidae, Pyralid Snout Moths) are Meal Moth (about 10%), Indian-Meal Moth (about 10%) and Long-Legged Tabby (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Scarce Oak Knot-Horn sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Scarce Oak Knot-Horn is recorded against all the insects logged in Berlin (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.