Spilonota ocellana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Spilonota ocellana, the bud moth, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in the Palearctic realm, from North Africa and Europe to Iran, eastern Russia, China (Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Jilin, Zhejiang, Fujian, Hubei, Sichuan, Shaanxi, Gansu, and Qinghai), Korea, and Japan. It is also present on Madeira and in North America.
The wingspan is 12–17 mm. The forewings are whitish, sometimes partly suffused with grey, more or less strigulated with dark fuscous. The basal patch is dark grey, sometimes blackish-mixed, edge somewhat angulated and the central fascia form a dark grey sometimes indistinct costal suffusion, and there is a black-edged triangular praetornal spot. The ocellus is edged with leaden- metallic, enclosing several sometimes confluent black dashes. The cilia are dark grey. The hindwings are rather dark grey. The larva is pinkish-brown; head and plate of 2 dark fuscous: on blackthorn, larch, alder, etc.; May. The larch -feeding form distinguished as lariciana is usually somewhat smaller and darker.
The moth flies from May to October depending on the location. There is one generation per year. The larvae feed on various deciduous trees and shrubs including Quercus, Betula, Sorbus and Vaccinium. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 5 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 6 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Eye-Spotted Bud Moth sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 668th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Eye-Spotted Bud Moth in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Eye-Spotted Bud Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
3rd of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Eye-Spotted Bud Moth sightings, Birmingham ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%) and London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Eye-Spotted Bud Moth that you can see in Birmingham (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Light Brown Apple Moth (about 20%), Common Marble (about 10%) and Common Roller (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Eye-Spotted Bud Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
