What are the chances of seeing a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer in Calgary?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer sighting in Calgary on a given day, based on 14 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 136th most-seen of the 256 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer in Calgary?
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer in Calgary on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
Is Calgary the best place to see a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer?
2nd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer sightings, Calgary ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Edmonton (Canada, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer live in Calgary?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer that you can see in Calgary (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Mourning Cloak (about 20%), Small White (about 20%) and Police Car Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer is recorded against all the insects logged in Calgary (14 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.