Ceratitis quilicii
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Cape Fruit Fly sighting in Cape Town on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 219th most-seen of the 311 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cape Fruit Fly in Cape Town on a given day, against under 5% in March–October and December–January, the lowest months. Those are among Cape Town's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain a month against 140 mm in June.
Only Cape Town, in our data
Cape Town is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Cape Fruit Fly sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cape Fruit Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Cape Town (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
