What are the chances of seeing a Black-Dotted Brown in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Dotted Brown sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 751st most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black-Dotted Brown in Chicago?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Dotted Brown in Chicago on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Chicago the best place to see a Black-Dotted Brown?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Black-Dotted Brown sightings, Chicago ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Austin (United States, under 5%) and Dallas (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Black-Dotted Brown live in Chicago?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Black-Dotted Brown that you can see in Chicago (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are White-Marked Tussock Moth (about 10%), Green Cloverworm Moth (about 10%) and Isabella Tiger Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Black-Dotted Brown sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Dotted Brown is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.