What are the chances of seeing a Red-Shawled Moth in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Shawled Moth sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 751st most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Red-Shawled Moth in Chicago?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Shawled Moth in Chicago on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Chicago the best place to see a Red-Shawled Moth?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Red-Shawled Moth sightings, Chicago ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Toronto (Canada, under 5%) and Washington (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Red-Shawled Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Red-Shawled Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.