What are the chances of seeing a Spot-Tailed Lion Fly in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Spot-Tailed Lion Fly sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 456th most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Spot-Tailed Lion Fly in Chicago?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Spot-Tailed Lion Fly in Chicago on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Where else can you see a Spot-Tailed Lion Fly?
Only Chicago, in our data
Chicago is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Spot-Tailed Lion Fly sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Spot-Tailed Lion Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Spot-Tailed Lion Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (22 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.