Elymnias nesaea
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Elymnias nesaea, the tiger palmfly, is a butterfly in the family Nymphalidae. The upperside of the wings is black with long bluish-green streaks. Forewings show four or five spots on the apical area, while hindwings have subterminal whitish spots in the posterior interspaces. The underside has a broad dark brown area on both wings... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denpasar | 🇮🇩 Indonesia | |
| 2 | Jakarta | 🇮🇩 Indonesia | |
| 3 | Kuala Lumpur | 🇲🇾 Malaysia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Tiger Palmfly sighting in Denpasar on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 71st most-seen of the 90 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Tiger Palmfly in Denpasar on a given day, against under 5% in February–June, August, October and December, the lowest months. That is one of Denpasar's wettest months, with about 320 mm of rain against 25 mm in August.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Tiger Palmfly sightings, Denpasar has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Jakarta (Indonesia, about 10%) and Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Tiger Palmfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Denpasar (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
