Nephele comma
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Nephele comma is a moth of the family Sphingidae. It is very common throughout the Ethiopian Region, including Madagascar. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorongosa National Park | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | |
| 2 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Comma Nephele sighting in Durban on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 345th most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and December–February
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Comma Nephele in Durban on a given day, against under 5% in March and May–November, the lowest months. Those are among Durban's wettest months, with about 170 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in June.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Comma Nephele sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
3rd of 3
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Comma Nephele sightings, Durban ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Pretoria (South Africa, about 10%) and Johannesburg (South Africa, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Comma Nephele is recorded against all the insects logged in Durban (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
