Plecoptera poderis
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Variable False-Thorn sighting in Durban on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 345th most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January and March–April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable False-Thorn in Durban on a given day, against under 5% in February and May–December, the lowest months.
Only Durban, in our data
Durban is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Variable False-Thorn sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Variable False-Thorn that you can see in Durban (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Lienard's Achaea (about 10%), African Peach Moth (about 10%) and Creamstriped Owl (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable False-Thorn is recorded against all the insects logged in Durban (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
