Phyciodes picta
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Phyciodes picta, the painted crescent, is a species of crescents, checkerspots, anglewings, etc. in the butterfly family Nymphalidae. It is found in North America. The MONA or Hodges number for Phyciodes picta is 4484. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Painted Crescent sighting in Guadalajara on a given day, based on 21 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 88th most-seen of the 229 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August to October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Painted Crescent in Guadalajara on a given day, against under 5% in November to July, the lowest months. Those are among Guadalajara's wettest months, with about 120 mm of rain a month against almost none in April.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Painted Crescent sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Painted Crescent sightings, Guadalajara ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Monterrey (México, about 10%) and Puebla (México, about 10%).
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Painted Crescent that you can see in Guadalajara (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Monarch (about 30%), Juno Silverspot (about 10%) and Gulf Fritillary (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Painted Crescent is recorded against all the insects logged in Guadalajara (21 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
