Progonia oileusalis
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Progonia oileusalis is a species of moth in the family Noctuidae first described by Francis Walker in 1859. It is found in Sri Lanka, Borneo, India, Taiwan, Japan and the Philippines. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Progonia oileusalis sighting in Guangzhou on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 441st most-seen of the 482 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Progonia oileusalis in Guangzhou on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months. That is one of Guangzhou's wettest months, with about 230 mm of rain against 30 mm in December.
4th of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Progonia oileusalis sightings, Guangzhou ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Tuen Mun (China, about 10%), Hong Kong (China, under 5%) and Taipei (Taiwan, under 5%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Progonia oileusalis that you can see in Guangzhou (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Banyan Tussock Moth (about 10%), Nyctemera adversata (about 10%) and Asota plaginota (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Progonia oileusalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Guangzhou (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
